2011年5月24日星期二

【禁闻】金正日访中 谋求摆脱政治经济困境

【禁闻】金正日访中 谋求摆脱政治经济困境

【新唐人2011年5月25日讯】在中日韩举行三国首脑峰会的同时,朝鲜领导人金正日正
在中国访问,这是金正日罕见的一年来第三次访华。外界分析指出,这表示目前朝鲜的
经济状况难以支撑,金正日不得不再次出面寻求中国的援助,谋求摆脱国际上的孤立局
面,以及国内政治、经济所面临的困境。

据韩国媒体报导,金正日5月20号乘坐火车抵达吉林延边朝鲜族自治州的图们地区,途
经牡丹江、长春,21号参观了长春第一汽车厂,据说这家企业将参与一项对朝投资。

中共总理温家宝22号在东京向韩国总统李明博,透露了中国邀请金正日访华的目地,是
为了让朝鲜了解中国的发展状况、为朝鲜提供借鉴。

金正日21号晚,从长春乘坐专列29个小时直达江苏扬州,23号参观了扬州一家超市的牛
奶、蔬菜等商品,然后前往邗(Hán)江经济开发区,参观了晶澳太阳能科技公司。
24号金正日抵达南京,参观了熊猫电子、奥运赛场和世界博物馆等。当天下午前往北
京,与中共领导人会谈。

朝鲜缺乏能源、粮食和重要的原材料,并且因为「核项目」而受到联合国的制裁。《美
国之音》23号指出,中国担心朝鲜经济崩溃将导致难民潮涌入中国。

韩国总统府发言人将金正日这次的访问称为「一次教育之旅」。日本《朝日新闻》则援
引分析说,金正日这次访华是在「尴尬的请求中国援助」,以缓解朝鲜正面临的缺粮困
境。

美国里奇蒙大学政治学教授王维正:「北朝鲜它的经济可能真的已经面临到非常严峻的
地步。虽然几年前有放出一些信息说希望能够模仿中国的改革开放的一些政策,我想他
可能也是有到中国去取经的味道。」

据《韩联社》的报导,5月19号在韩国国会议员会馆举行的「对朝粮食援助研讨会」
上,世界粮食计划署驻朝鲜代表克劳迪娅.勒尔(Claudia vonRoehl)表示,由于粮食产
量和国际援助减少,600万名朝鲜居民遭受缺粮之苦。

美国国务院的朝鲜人权特使罗伯特.金(RobertKing)24号访问朝鲜,评估那里的食品短
缺情况,同时提出朝鲜的人权问题。韩美两国将根据评估结果决定是否重启对朝粮食援
助。

去年因天安舰和延坪岛挑衅事件,韩美两国彻底切断了对朝鲜的援助。在这个境况
下,据韩国《朝鲜日报》的报导说,金正日的妹夫张成泽5月底访问吉林丹东,就鸭绿
江下游的「黄金坪」租借给中国百年,签署协议。

加拿大拉瓦尔大学经济学教授苏展:「北韩这几年的问题实际上不是简单的搞几个什么
特区,它必须要有一个体制的改革。在今天来讲,北韩面临着两个大的政治问题,一个
是东亚的紧张关系,尤其是由于北韩的一系列举动;第二个政治问题就是它的继承权的
问题。」

《韩联社》报导,朝鲜在2009年修改宪法,新宪法中去掉了「共产主义」一词,首次写
入了「先军思想」,以军队为优先。去年9月,金正日�一步延伸世袭独裁体制,确立
他的第三个儿子金正恩,为金氏政权的继承人,金正恩年仅27岁。

而日本《读卖新闻》报导说,金正恩在确定接班人地位后,经常发表重视经济的言
论,如「过去可以没有粮食,但不能没有子弹,如今是可以没有子弹,但一定要有粮食
」;他还说「要在3年内让居民吃上米饭肉汤」。

22号,温家宝在中日韩首脑峰会中,强调通过对话,缓解韩朝紧张关系,并向李明博总
统重申了反对朝鲜拥有核武器的态度。

今年初,美中首脑会谈,就朝鲜核问题商定重启对话。中日韩首脑在22号的峰会中一致
认为,朝鲜半岛无核化将极大的促�东北亚的和平与稳定。而外界则指出,朝鲜「核项
目」实际上是金正日和中共讹诈国际社会重要的一张牌。

新唐人记者李元翰、萧宇综合报导。

NK Seeks Help?

North Korean (NK) leader Kim Jong Il visited China,during the summit of
China, Japan and South Korea.It is rare for Kim Jong Il to visit China
three timeswithin a year. An outsider' analysis pointed outthat this
indicates NK's seeking of help from China,so NK would not face political
and economicdifficulties at home and isolation internationally.

South Korean media reported that on May 20,Kim Jong Il arrived in Yanbian
Jilin by train,via Mudanjiang and Changchun. He visitedthe Changchun First
Automobile on May 21.It is learned that this company would invest in NK.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told Lee Myung-bak,South Korean President on May
22 in Tokyo,that the purpose of Kim's visit is to understandChina's
development and thus gain a reference.

After a 29-hour train ride, Kim Jong Il arrivedat Yangzhou, Jiangsu. Kim
visited a supermarketand a solar technology company.On May 24, he arrived
at Nanking and visitedthe Panda Electronics, Olympic Stadiumand the World
Museum. In the afternoon,he went to Beijing and talked with Chinese leaders.

North Korea lacks energy, food and essential rawmaterials and also suffers
under the United Nations'sanction due to its nuclear program.Voice of
America pointed out on May 23,that China was concerned with NK's refugees
rushif NK would collapse due to economic catastrophe.

The South Korean presidential spokesman referredto Kim's visit as "an
educational trip."Analysts in Japan said that Kim's China visitwas an
embarrassing request for assistancefrom China to solve food shortage crisis
in NK.

Wang Weizheng, a Professor of Political Science,at the University of
Richmond:"N. Korea is probably facing economy hardships.Although a few
years ago it voiced out that it wantsto imitate China's reform and opening
up policies.I think he wants to learn something from China."

According to Yonhap, in South Korea was helda "Seminar on food aid to North
Korea.".Claudia von Roehl from the World Food Programsaid on behalf of
North Korea that due to reductionof food production and international
assistance,6 million Koreans will suffer from food shortages.

Robert King, U.S. State Department'sNK human rights envoy, visited NK on
May 24,to assess the situation of food shortages thereand also to raise the
issue with NKs' human rights.Based on the assessment, Korea and the
U.S.will decide if food aid programs can restart in NK.

Due to the Cheonan and Yin Ping Island incidentslast year Korea and the
U.S. completely cut off aidsto North Korea. Under this situation, Chosun
Ilboof South Korea reported that Kim's brother-in-lawJang visited Jilin
Province in May and signeda lease of the "Golden Plain" at the downstreamof
Yalu River to China for 100 years.

Su Zhan (Economics' Professor, University of Laval,Canada): setting up
special administrative regionsbut it needed an institutional reform. NK is
facingtwo major political issues today, one is the tensionin East Asia, in
particular a series of moves by NK,the other is a question of its
inheritance."

Yonhap reported that in 2009 North Korea amendedthe constitution and the
word "communism"was replaced by "military-first ideology."Last September,
Kim Jong Il extendedthe hereditary dictatorship further and
established27-year-old Kim Zhengen (his third son) as his heir.

And Japan's Yomiuri Shimbun reported:"After being confirmed as the heir,
Kim Zhengenfrequently published his remarks about economysuch as 'In the
past, we could tolerate no food,but not without bullets, now we can
tolerateno bullets but not without food'. He also said:'All civilians will
have rice and meatwithin three years'."

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao stressed at the summiton May 22, that through
dialogues tensions betweenNorth and South Korea could be eased,but he too
is opposing a nuclear North Korea.

The Korean nuclear issue was raised againduring the US-China summit early
this year.Then leaders from US, Japan and Korea agreed,that
denuclearization of the Korean peninsulawill greatly promote peace and
stabilityin Northeast Asia. An outsider pointed outthat North Korea's
nuclear program is actuallya scheme between China and North Koreato
blackmail the international community.

NTD reporters Li Yuanhan and Xiao Yu 2011-05-25
11:18:31http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2011/05/25/a536254.html.-【禁闻】金正日
访中-谋求摆脱政治经济困境.html

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